(We removed Florida this year and replaced them with Villanova taking the list from 11 to 10.)
Let’s look at some historical numbers and how they apply to the big dance in March.
There have been 79 NCAA title winners since 1939 (no matter what North Carolina tells you with their Helms Trophy banners hanging in the rafter, or Kansas for that matter) and only 11 teams have 52 of those 79 National Titles. Over half. 10 teams have 50 of the available 79 titles, leaving just 27 that weren’t won by this exclusive group. If you add Oklahoma A&M(2), San Francisco(2), Cincinnati(2), Florida(2) and NC State(2) that leaves 19 teams that have won a title.
That leaves us with Oregon, CCNY, LaSalle, Holy Cross, Utah, Wyoming, Stanford, Loyola Illinois, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Georgetown, UNLV, Syracuse, Marquette, Arkansas, California, Maryland, Texas Western and UTEP.
For fun, Let’s look at National Titles by Conferences:
Pac-12 – 15
ACC – 15
SEC – 11
Big Ten – 10
Big East – 8
Independents – 6
Missouri Valley Conference – 4
Big 8 – 2
Metro – 2
West Coach Conference – 2
Big 12 – 1
Big West – 1
New York Conference – 1
Mountain States Conference – 1
American Conference – 2
Now let’s look at the breakdown of the exclusive group of 11 teams that 52 of the 79 titles come from…
UCLA has a total of 11 titles
1964, 65, 67-73, 1975, 95
UCLA DID NOT make the tournament this year.
Kentucky has 8 National Titles
1948, 49, 51, 58, 78, 96, 98, 2012
UK is the 2 seed in the midwest with possible match-ups of Seton Hall(who beat us early in the season), and rematches of Kansas or North Carolina.
North Carolina has 6 National Titles in 1957, 82, 93, 05, 2009 and 2018. (Still waiting for a couple to be vacated)
North Carolina is is the 1 seed in the Midwest with a possible match up of Washington in the second round, Auburn or Kansas in the sweet 16 and Kentucky in the elite 8. Tough road for the Tar Heels.
North Carolina: IN
Indiana has won 5 National Titles in 1940, 53, 76, 81, and 1987.
Indiana is OUT of the NCAA tournament following another terrible season.
Let’s all enjoy their “One Shining Moment” from just a few seasons ago when they were the #1 seed overall and failed to reach the elite 8. They have NEVER advanced past the Sweet 16 with Tom Crean.
Duke has won 5 National Titles in 1991, 92(I still hate Laettner), 2001, 2010, 2015
Duke is the #1 seed overall. They went 3-3 without Zion, but, being Silver Spoon U. those games don’t count;) Yes, they are good, we get it, but, their inability to shoot from 3 could be what ends their run. Another game against Virginia Tech could meet them in the Sweet 16, along with possible match ups with LSU or Maryland. Michigan State is their 2 seed.
UCONN has 4 National Titles in 1999, 2004, 2011 and 2014
UCONN failed to make the NCAA tournament after an abysmal season.
Kansas has won 3 National Titles.
1952, 88, 2008
Kansas is the 4 seed with the other Blue Bloods of Kentucky and North Carolina. This is not a vintage Kansas team and their first game is against Northeastern. Kind of sounds like a Bill Self upset special?
Auburn could await them in game two, and then a possible match up with North Carolina in the Sweet 16.
Louisville has 3 National Titles.
1980, 86, and *2013(VACATED)
Louisville is the 7 seed in the East with their first game against the Minnesota Fighting Little Ricky Pitinos. Thank you NCAA. Game two would be against Michigan State. LSU or Maryland would be next. Not an easy path for lil bro. We are counting them out.
Michigan State has 2 National Titles.
1979 and 2000
Michigan State is the 2 seed in the East with possible games against UL, Minnesota, LSU and Maryland before they become America’s team in playing Duke in the Elite 8.
Michigan State: IN
Villanova is the 6 seed in the South with St. Mary’s, Purdue, Cincinnati, and Tennessee as possible match-ups before getting to the 1 seed Virginia. Never count them out.
We removed Florida from the list this year. From 11 teams to the 10.
So, of the 10 teams with 50 of the 79 titles who remains with a real chance to win it all?
UK, UNC, Duke, Kansas, Michigan State, Villanova
Perhaps Gonzaga is the only team that has zero titles that has a real chance at winning it all.
And we don’t see any team from the group that has 1 titles with a real chance of getting their second. (Ohio State, Wisconsin, Marquette, Maryland)
Florida is the only team with 2 who could make a run.
Since 2003 only Syracuse and Florida have won titles outside of this list.(We removed Florida from the 10 this year and replaced them with Villanova)
2017 North Carolina
2015 Duke (35-4) Mike Krzyzewski 68-63 Wisconsin Indianapolis, Ind.
2014 Connecticut (32-8) Kevin Ollie 60-54 Kentucky Arlington, Texas
*2013 Louisville (35-5) Rick Pitino 82-76 Michigan Atlanta, Ga. (VACATED)
2012 Kentucky (38-2) John Calipari 67-59 Kansas New Orleans, La.
2011 Connecticut (32-9) Jim Calhoun 53-41 Butler Houston, Texas
2010 Duke (35-5) Mike Krzyzewski 61-59 Butler Indianapolis, Ind.
2009 North Carolina (34-4) Roy Williams 89-72 Michigan State Detroit, Mich.
2008 Kansas (37-3) Bill Self 75-68 (OT) Memphis San Antonio, Texas
2007 Florida (35-5) Billy Donovan 84-75 Ohio State Atlanta, Ga.
2006 Florida (33-6) Billy Donovan 73-57 UCLA Indianapolis, Ind.
2005 North Carolina (33-4) Roy Williams 75-70 Illinois St. Louis, Mo.
2004 Connecticut (33-6) Jim Calhoun 82-73 Georgia Tech San Antonio, Texas
History has a way of repeating itself, who is it going to be?